近55年吉林省霜期的气候变化特征
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S162;P423.4

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吉林省气象局青年基金(2015027)


Climatic Characteristics of the Frost Season Variation during the Last 55 Years in Jilin Province
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    摘要:

    利用1961~2015年吉林省均匀分布的46个气象站的逐日霜观测资料,采用M-K突变分析以及气候倾向率等方法对全省初霜日、终霜日和无霜期的气候变化特征进行分析。结果表明,全省平均初霜日为9月25日,终霜日为5月8日,无霜期为139天。全省及各区域平均初霜日呈推迟趋势、终霜日呈提前趋势、无霜期呈延长趋势,且几乎通过了0.01水平的显著性检验。其中初霜日东部最早、西部最晚,终霜日东部最晚、西部最早,由此导致无霜期呈由东南向西北逐渐递增的变化规律。全省平均初霜日和终霜日分别在1973年和1993年发生气候突变。从逐站点变化情况看,全省半数以上站点的初霜日的推迟趋势、终霜日的提前趋势和无霜期的延长趋势均通过了0.05水平显著性检验。

    Abstract:

    Based on the daily frost data of 46 meteorological observation stations in Jilin Province from 1961 to 2015,the climatic change characteristics of the first frost day,the last frost day and the frost-free period in Jilin Province were analyzed by means of M-K mutation analysis and climatic tendency rate. The results showed that the average first frost day was September 25, the last frost day was May 8, and the frost-free period was 139 days. The average first frost day of the province and each region showed a trend of postponing,the average last frost day showed a trend of advancing,and the average frost-free period showed a trend of prolonging,which almost passed the significance test of 0.01 level. Among them,the first frost day is the earliest in the east,the last in the west,the last frost day is the last in the east and the earliest in the west, which leads to the gradual increase of frost-free period from southeast to northwest. The average first frost day and the last frost day occurred abruptly in 1973 and 1993 respectively. More than half of the stations in Jilin Province passed the 0.05 level significance test in the trend of delaying the first frost day, advancing the last frost day and prolonging the frost free period.

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许晖,王丽伟,徐昕,庞培林.近55年吉林省霜期的气候变化特征[J].东北农业科学,2020,45(2):83-86,90.

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  • 收稿日期:2018-12-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-26
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