“一带一路”核心区农业碳排放与农业经济增长研究
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F327

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国家自然科学基金项目(71363052);新疆维吾尔自治区软科学项目(2018D07018)


Research on Agricultural Carbon Emission and Agricultural Economic Growth in 'The Belt and Road' Core Area
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    摘要:

    从农业视角探析"一带一路"倡议中新疆和福建两核心区农业碳排放与经济增长关系差异,为绿色"一带一路"建设提供理论参考。文章采用碳排放系数法测算新疆和福建1996~2016年农业碳排放量,构建脱钩弹性模型对比两省区农业碳排放与经济增长脱钩关系。结果表明:碳排总量累计增长上新疆是福建的5倍左右,而年均增速新疆近福建的3.85倍;碳源排名中,化肥和农膜是新疆的主要碳源,化肥和柴油是福建的主要碳源,6类碳源产生的碳排总量在两核心区存在差异;脱钩关系上,新疆理想脱钩状态占比年份为40%,态势尚不稳定;福建以弱脱钩为主,占研究期的75%,农业碳排放与经济增长关系显著。总体上两核心区农业碳排放量和脱钩关系差异悬殊,新疆农业碳排放与农业经济增长响应程度弱于福建。

    Abstract:

    From the perspective of agriculture, this paper analyzes the differences between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth in the two core areas of Xinjiang and Fujian in’The Belt and Road’initiative and provides a theoretical reference for the construction of green’The Belt and Road’. The paper uses the carbon emission coefficient method to calculate the agricultural carbon emissions in Xinjiang and Fujian from 1996 to 2016, and constructs the decoupling elastic model to compare the decoupling between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth in two provinces. The results showed that total carbon emissions is about 5 times that of Fujian. The average annual growth rate of Xinjiang is nearly 3.85 times that of Fujian. In the carbon source ranking, fertilizer and agricultural film are the main carbon sources in Xinjiang, while fertilizer and diesel are the main carbon sources in Fujian.The carbon emissions from the six types of carbon sources are different in the two core areas. In terms of decoupling relationship, the ideal decoupling state accounts for 40% of the year in Xinjiang, and the situation is still unstable.In Fujian Province, weak decoupling is the main factor, accounting for 75% of the research period. The relationship between agricultural carbon emissions and economic growth is significant. On the whole, there are great differences in agricultural carbon emissions and decoupling relationship between the two core areas. The response of agricultural carbon emissions and agricultural economic growth in Xinjiang is weaker than that in Fujian.

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张亚飞,张立杰.“一带一路”核心区农业碳排放与农业经济增长研究[J].东北农业科学,2020,45(2):106-110.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-01-22
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-26
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