临储制度改革对我国玉米生产率的影响研究
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F326.11

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国家社科基金(17BGL250)


Study on the Effect of Temporary Storage System Reform on Maize Productivity in China
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    摘要:

    本文利用DEA-Malmquist模型测算了2005~2017年我国17个主产区的玉米生产效率,用Tobit模型研究了临储制度改革对玉米生产率的影响。研究发现:我国玉米生产率整体较高,呈倒“N”型变化趋势。全要素生产率在2015年之前上升是由技术进步作用结果,2015年之后下降是由规模效应下降作用结果。总体呈华北>西北>东北>全国>华东>西南状态,但不同时期各区域生产率变化差异较大,东北地区是引起这种变化的主要推动力。维持市场稳定性、降低土地成本、增加机械费用对生产率有促进作用。从临储制度改革实际效果看,临储制度改革推动了我国主产区玉米生产率的提高,没有引起市场较大震荡。最后提出保障玉米收储政策改革的稳定性、市场的透明度,及时调整玉米主产区农业机械化产业的转型升级等建议。

    Abstract:

    In this paper, DEA-Malmquist model is used to measure the corn production efficiency of 17 main production areas in China from 2005 to 2017, and Tobit model is used to study the impact of temporary storage system reform on corn productivity. The results show that the overall corn productivity in China is high, showing an inverted "N" trend. The increase of TFP before 2015 is the result of technological progress, and the decrease after 2015 is the result of scale effect. The overall trend is North China>Northwest>Northeast>the whole country>East China>Southwest, but the regional productivity changes in different periods are quite different, and the northeast region is the main driving force for this change. Maintaining market stability, reducing land cost and increasing machinery cost have promoting effect on productivity. From the actual effect of the temporary storage system reform: the reform of temporary storage system promoted the increase of corn productivity in the main producing areas of China, but did not cause a big market shock. Finally, some suggestions were put forward to ensure the stability of the corn policy reform, the transparency of the market, and timely adjust the transformation and upgrading of the agricultural mechanization industry in the main corn producing areas.

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宫炳含,何蒲明.临储制度改革对我国玉米生产率的影响研究[J].东北农业科学,2021,46(1):135-139.

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  • 收稿日期:2019-02-28
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-11-25
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