粮食主产区小农户土地承包权退出意愿及影响因素——基于河南省周口市的实证分析
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F321.1

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国家社会科学基金项目(14BGL093);河南省软科学项目(222400410269)


Willingness of Smallholder Farmers to Relinquish Land Contract Right in Major Grain-Producing Areas: A Micro-Level Empirical Analysis Based on Zhoukou, Henan Province
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    摘要:

    为统筹城乡发展、解决农地流转效率低等问题,采用列联表分析和二元Logistic回归模型对周口市农户的土地承包权退出意愿及影响因素进行实证分析,得出结论:(1)列联表的分析结果表明,受访农户普遍呈现教育水平低、耕地规模小、土地质量与收入不高的特征;在补偿方式上,农户强烈偏好“就业补偿”与“地价上涨幅度逐年补偿”,且期望补偿金额每667 m2均3万元以上。若能控制退出后经济损失,多数农户愿退出承包权。(2)二元Logistic回归进一步筛选出影响农户退地意愿的因素分别是年龄、受教育程度、家庭收入来源、城市是否有住房、退出后经济损失、一次性补偿金额、土地质量、土地重要性感知。因此建议:政府在制定农地承包权退出政策时,应重视农民群体的异质性,避免“一刀切”现象,推动形成分区、分类、分步实施的差异化退出机制,可以从科学、合理、人性化的多方位角度考量,这不仅有助于优化土地资源配置,也能切实保障农民生计与发展权益,同时也为促进农业现代化与城乡融合发展提供制度支撑。

    Abstract:

    To coordinate urban–rural development and address the low efficiency of rural land transfer, farmers’ willingness to withdraw from land contract right and its influencing factors in Zhoukou City were empirically analyzed using contingency table analysis and a binary Logistic regression model. The results showed that contingency table analysis indicated that the interviewed farmers were generally characterized by low educational attainment, small cultivated land scale, poor land quality and low income. In terms of compensation, farmers showed a strong preference for employment compensation and annual compensation linked to land price appreciation, with expected compensation levels exceeding 30, 000 yuan per 667 m2. Most farmers were willing to withdraw from land contract right if post-withdrawal economic losses could be controlled. The binary Logistic regression analysis further identified age, education level, household income source, urban housing ownership, economic loss from withdrawal, one-time compensation amount, land quality and perceived importance of land as significant factors influencing farmers’willingness to withdraw. Therefore, when formulating policies for the withdrawal of rural land contract right, the heterogeneity of farmer groups should be fully considered, and a“one-size-fits-all” approach should be avoided. A differentiated withdrawal mechanism implemented by region, category and stage should be promoted, and policies should be designed from scientific, rational and people-oriented perspectives. This approach helps optimize the allocation of land resources, effectively safeguard farmers’livelihood and devel‐opment rights, and provide institutional support for promoting agricultural modernization and urban–rural integrated development.

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李丹茹,马恒运,王智豪.粮食主产区小农户土地承包权退出意愿及影响因素——基于河南省周口市的实证分析[J].东北农业科学,2026,51(3):79-91.

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  • 收稿日期:2025-10-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-18
  • 出版日期: 2026-06-25
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